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What’s in store for EUR/USD today? – Commerzbank and Danske Bank

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The single currency has started the week on a softer tone vs. the greenback, with EUR/USD navigating the area of 1.0780 so far.

“While EUR/USD has moved a bit higher over the past week, we believe that the next leg down will come soon as the US surprise index turns higher and it becomes clearer that a Fed hike is not very far away. We still look for EUR/USD to go below parity on a six month horizon”, commented analysts at Danske Bank.

Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, noted the pair’s “correction higher has reached its 5 month resistance line, this is located at 1.0842 currently. While capped here, an immediate downside bias will remain in place and the risk remains for a retest of the 1.0520/1.0457 recent lows. Loss of 1.0650 should be enough to refocus on the downside”.

Gold net bullish positions fell last week

As per the data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), speculators decreased their overall gold bullish bets last week after pushing bullish bets higher for three straight weeks.
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EUR/USD recovers to 1.0790

The shared currency recovered half its slide against the US dollar in the European morning, with EUR/USD once again eyeing the 1.08 barrier, as the euro received fresh impetus from upbeat German factory gate prices which showed a further upward trend m/m in March.
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